Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)

DCF Valuation · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Valuation as at 2026-08-14 · see also the S&P 500 Most Undervalued screen

About Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Price
$80.15
Market Cap
$38.63B
Free Cash Flow
$1.16B
Beta
0.61
P/E (TTM)
21.8x
52-Week Range
$55.58–$88.46

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's price & financial trends

Each card is labelled with its own reporting period — quarterly where Yahoo provides it for this market, annual otherwise.

Data as at 2026-08-14

Share price · last 2 years

$80.15 +31% vs 2024-08
S&P 500 $60.99$51.23$52.78$60.74$74.54$80.15 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Earnings per share (diluted) Per quarter

$0.62 +1% vs Q1 '25
$0.61$0.45$0.22$0.94$0.62Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26

Free cash flow Per quarter

$0.88B -78% vs Q2 '25
$3.99B$1.51B-$0.67B-$0.04B$0.88BQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26

Dividend per share Per quarter

$0.52 +2% vs Q2 '25
$0.51$0.51$0.50$0.52Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Partial Fit
12 / 20 combined score

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for ADM →

Intrinsic value estimate · 5-year forecast

BEAR
$43.04
vs current $80.15
-46.3% ❌ Overvalued
BASE
$100.87
vs current $80.15
+25.9% ✅ Undervalued
BULL
$160.97
vs current $80.15
+100.8% ✅ Undervalued

Assumptions used in this valuation

Every input below is either fetched live from Yahoo Finance or a documented default — nothing is hidden.

Starting free cash flow
$1.16B
Reported free cash flow (Yahoo)
Risk-free rate
4.68% ● LIVE
Live 10-yr govt bond
Beta
0.61
Direct from Yahoo
Equity risk premium
5.50%
Market-specific seed
Cost of debt
8.68%
Synthetic rating B, ICR 2.3x
Tax rate
25.00%
Estimated default
Capital structure
E 81% / D 19%
Market cap vs total debt
Projection horizon
5 years
+ terminal value beyond
BearBaseBull
5-yr FCF growth12.5%25.0%30.0%
Terminal growth2.5%2.5%2.5%
WACC (discount rate)8.75%7.75%6.75%

Cost of Equity = Risk-free rate + Beta × Equity Risk Premium = 4.68% + 0.61 × 5.50% = 8.05% · WACC = weighted by 81%/19% capital structure

These numbers come from running Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's cash flows through the mechanical DCF formula and assumptions above — not from any view on the news, management, or ADM's competitive position. What is DCF?

Want to test your own growth or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with ADM →

More S&P 500 stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. DCF valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-14 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full DCF tool and the S&P 500 Most Undervalued screen. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) undervalued?

The Base-case DCF estimates intrinsic value at $100.87 vs a price of $80.15 on 2026-08-14 — a +25.9% margin, so the Base case reads undervalued. This is a mechanical output, not advice.