Yancoal Australia Ltd (YAL.AX)

DCF Valuation · Energy · Thermal Coal

Valuation as at 2026-08-14 · see also the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen

About Yancoal Australia Ltd

Yancoal Australia Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, India, Europe, Israel, Chile, Indonesia, Cambodia, and Bangladesh. The company owns a 98.75% interest in the Moolarben coal mine located in the Western Coalfields of New South Wales; an 83.6% interest in the Mount Thorley and Warkworth mines located in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and 51% interest in the Hunter Valley Operations located to the north-west of Singleton in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales. It also holds 100% interests in the Yarrabee mine located to the northeast of Blackwater in Central Queensland's Bowen Basin; Donaldson located in the Hunter Valley; Ashton mine located in the Upper Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and Stratford Duralie mine located within the New South Wales Gloucester Basin, the Stratford Duralie.

Source: Yahoo Finance company profile · factual description, not KashVector commentary

Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX

Energy · Thermal Coal

Price
$5.75
Market Cap
$7.59B
Free Cash Flow
$0.54B
Beta
1.00
P/E (TTM)
17.4x
52-Week Range
$4.76–$9.06

Yancoal Australia Ltd's price & financial trends

Annual reporting periods — this market does not have reliable quarterly data on Yahoo (either it isn't required, or coverage is incomplete), so annual is the most granular consistent series across free cash flow and dividends.

Data as at 2026-08-14

Share price · last 2 years

$5.75 +6% vs 2024-08
ASX 200 $5.40$6.44$5.77$5.37$7.64$5.75 2024-082025-012025-062025-112026-042026-08

Earnings per share (diluted) Per year

$0.33 -88% vs FY22
$2.70$1.37$0.92$0.33FY22FY23FY24FY25

Free cash flow Per year

$0.51B -92% vs FY22
$5.98B$0.64B$1.43B$0.51BFY22FY23FY24FY25

Dividend per share Per year

$0.58 -52% vs FY22
$1.23$1.06$0.32$0.58FY22FY23FY24FY25

Value investing scale · Buffett · Dalio · Graham

Strong Fit
15 / 20 combined score

See the full Buffett, Dalio & Graham breakdown for YAL.AX →

Intrinsic value estimate · 5-year forecast

BEAR
$5.16
vs current $5.75
-10.2% ⚠️ Fairly Valued
BASE
$5.85
vs current $5.75
+1.7% ⚠️ Fairly Valued
BULL
$6.74
vs current $5.75
+17.1% ⚠️ Fairly Valued

Assumptions used in this valuation

Every input below is either fetched live from Yahoo Finance or a documented default — nothing is hidden.

Starting free cash flow
$0.54B
Reported free cash flow (Yahoo)
Risk-free rate
4.80% ● LIVE
Live 10-yr govt bond
Beta
1.00
Floored for non-US stocks
Equity risk premium
6.00%
Market-specific seed
Cost of debt
5.40%
Synthetic rating AAA, ICR 29.6x
Tax rate
25.00%
Estimated default
Capital structure
E 99% / D 1%
Market cap vs total debt
Projection horizon
5 years
+ terminal value beyond
BearBaseBull
5-yr FCF growth-7.5%-5.0%-2.5%
Terminal growth2.5%2.5%2.5%
WACC (discount rate)11.73%10.73%9.73%

Cost of Equity = Risk-free rate + Beta × Equity Risk Premium = 4.80% + 1.00 × 6.00% = 10.80% · WACC = weighted by 99%/1% capital structure

These numbers come from running Yancoal Australia Ltd's cash flows through the mechanical DCF formula and assumptions above — not from any view on the news, management, or YAL.AX's competitive position. What is DCF?

Want to test your own growth or discount-rate assumptions?Open the full interactive calculator, pre-filled with YAL.AX →

More ASX stocks we've valued

Not financial advice. DCF valuations are highly sensitive to assumptions — small changes in growth rate or discount rate produce large swings in output. This is a mechanical calculation, not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell.

About this valuation

Computed on 2026-08-14 from Yahoo Finance data, using the same engine as the full DCF tool and the ASX 300 Most Undervalued screen. Every figure above is a point-in-time snapshot of that date — change any assumption yourself in the interactive tool for a live one.

Frequently asked questions

Is Yancoal Australia Ltd (YAL.AX) undervalued?

The Base-case DCF estimates intrinsic value at $5.85 vs a price of $5.75 on 2026-08-14 — a +1.7% margin, so the Base case reads fairly valued. This is a mechanical output, not advice.